Take Action Iowa

IA-01 (Flip, Miller-Meeks); IA-03 (Flip, Nunn); IA-02 (Open, Watch)

Iowa’s three Republican-held House seats — IA-01, IA-02 (open), and IA-03 — are key Democratic targets in 2026. With rising concerns around healthcare costs, water quality, and support for rural communities, Democrats see an opportunity to compete in districts that have trended Republican but remain highly responsive to economic and quality-of-life issues. The June 2 primary will shape competitive matchups heading into November.

In IA-01 and IA-03, incumbents Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn confront growing scrutiny over their records, creating additional openings for challengers. Miller-Meeks continues to face a remarkably close electoral environment, narrowly defeating Democrat Christina Bohannan in 2024 by just 799 votes, reinforcing IA-01’s contestability. Similarly, IA-03 remains highly competitive after Nunn’s narrow win, with the outcome expected to hinge on national political trends, local economic conditions, and whether Democrats field strong challengers.

IA-02 is an open seat following Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson’s departure, making it a top-tier Democratic pickup opportunity in Iowa

A-01 Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks earned just an 8% AFL-CIO score in 2025, drawing criticism from labor groups.
Miller-Meeks has supported conservative priorities including border security measures and opposition to federal gun control legislation.
IA-03 Rep. Zach Nunn has voted with his party roughly 94% of the time, aligning with Republicans on taxes, abortion, and gun policy.
Nunn has faced criticism for downplaying the January 6 attack and for not holding public town halls.
Water quality and rising cancer rates remain among the most pressing issues for Iowa voters across party lines.
Key campaign issues also include agricultural support, healthcare affordability, education funding, and rural infrastructure.

COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE

State	District	Incumbent	Party in Power	Partisan Lean	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	FECID_Dem	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	FECID_Rep	$ Raised (Rep)	Red District Project
Arizona	AZ-01	OPEN (David Schweikert)	Republican	R+1	Toss Up	21-Jul-26							Yes
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	Republican	EVEN	Toss Up	21-Jul-26				Juan Ciscomani	H2AZ02360	$5,083,547	Yes
California	CA-13	Adam Gray	Democratic	D+2	Lean D	2-Jun-26	Adam Gray	H2CA13115	$3,283,978
California	CA-22	David Valadao	Republican	D+1	Toss Up	2-Jun-26				David Valadao	H2CA20094	$4,150,872	Yes
California	CA-45	Derek Tran	Democratic	D+3	Lean D	2-Jun-26	Derek Tran	H4CA45170	$3,860,528
California	CA-48	OPEN (Darrell Issa)	Republican	D+2	Lean D	2-Jun-26
Colorado	CO-08	Gabe Evans	Republican	EVEN	Toss Up	2-Jun-26				Gabe Evans	H4CO08034	$4,259,928	Yes
Florida	FL-14	Kathy Castor	Democratic	D+5	Lean R	18-Aug-26	Kathy Castor	H6FL11126	$876,012
Florida	FL-22	Lois Frankel	Democratic	D+4	Lean R	18-Aug-26	Lois Frankel	H2FL14053	$1,855,772
Florida	FL-25	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	Democratic	D+5	Toss Up	18-Aug-26	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	H4FL20023	$2,502,689
Iowa	IA-01	Mariannette Miller-Meeks	Republican	R+4	Toss Up	2-Jun-26				Mariannette Miller-Meeks	H8IA02043	$5,748,767
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	Republican	R+2	Toss Up	2-Jun-26	Sarah Trone Garriott	H6IA03268	$3,080,897	Zach Nunn	H2IA03119	$3,882,730
Michigan	MI-07	Tom Barrett	Republican	EVEN	Toss Up	4-Aug-26				Tom Barrett	H2MI07123	$5,033,912
Michigan	MI-08	Kristen McDonald Rivet	Democratic	R+1	Lean D	4-Aug-26	Kristen McDonald Rivet	H4MI08218	$4,384,972
Michigan	MI-10	OPEN (John James)	Republican	R+3	Lean R	4-Aug-26
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	Democratic	R+5	Lean R	3-Mar-26	Don Davis	H2NC02287	$3,232,086	Laurie Buckhout	H4NC01137	$2,743,029
Nebraska	NE-02	OPEN (Don Bacon)	Republican	D+3	Lean D	12-May-26	Denise Powell	H6NE02174	$1,617,997	Brinker Harding	H6NE02208	$1,270,418
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	Republican	EVEN	Toss Up	2-Jun-26				Thomas Kean	H0NJ07261	$4,374,665
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	Democratic	EVEN	Lean D	2-Jun-26	Gabe Vasquez	H2NM02191	$2,883,218
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	Democratic	D+1	Lean D	9-Jun-26	Susie Lee	H6NV04020	$3,498,064
New York	NY-03	Tom Suozzi	Democratic	EVEN	Lean D	23-Jun-26	Tom Suozzi	H6NY03247	$4,110,037
New York	NY-04	Laura Gillen	Democratic	D+2	Lean D	23-Jun-26	Laura Gillen	H2NY04244	$4,184,750
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	Republican	D+1	Toss Up	23-Jun-26				Mike Lawler	H2NY17162	$6,731,833
New York	NY-19	Josh Riley	Democratic	D+1	Lean D	23-Jun-26	Josh Riley	H8NY22177	$3,955,385
Ohio	OH-01	Greg Landsman	Democratic	R+1	Lean D	5-May-26	Greg Landsman	H2OH01194	$3,645,067	Eric Conroy	H6OH01138	$853,604
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	Democratic	R+5	Toss Up	5-May-26	Marcy Kaptur	H2OH09031	$3,385,266	Derek Merrin	H4OH09169	$773,454
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Ryan MacKenzie	Republican	R+1	Toss Up	19-May-26				Ryan MacKenzie	H8PA15195	$3,726,348
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Rob Bresnahan	Republican	R+4	Toss Up	19-May-26				Rob Bresnahan	H4PA08124	$4,519,623
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	Republican	R+3	Toss Up	19-May-26				Scott Perry	H2PA04135	$4,415,918
Texas	TX-28	Henry Cuellar	Democratic	R+3	Lean D	3-Mar-26	Henry Cuellar	H2TX23082	$1,620,505	Tano Tijerina	H6TX28124	$937,221
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	Democratic	R+3	Toss Up	3-Mar-26	Vicente Gonzalez	H6TX15162	$2,907,549	Eric Flores	H6TX34080	$2,158,799
Virginia	VA-01	Robert Wittman	Republican	D+5	Lean R	16-Jun-26				Robert Wittman	H8VA01147	$3,398,634
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	Republican	D+3	Toss Up	16-Jun-26				Jen Kiggans	H2VA02064	$4,746,033
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	Democratic	R+2	Toss Up	4-Aug-26	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	H2WA03217	$4,548,761
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	Republican	R+3	Toss Up	11-Aug-26				Derrick Van Orden	H0WI03175	$5,677,515