Take Action Arizona

Senate (Open), AZ-01 (Flip - Schweikert), AZ-06 (Flip - Ciscomani)

The decision of Sen. Kyrsten Sinema to leave after her term expires has opened the field for Democrat Ruben Gallego. Gallego, who represents Arizona’s 3rd Congressional district in Congress, leads the field of Democratic candidates against election-loser but high-profile Republican Kari Lake.

In the House races, AZ-01 and AZ-06 are ripe for flips. In AZ-01, Conor O’Callaghan and Andre Cherny lead the six Democrats in campaign donations. In AZ-06, environmental attorney and former State Senator Kirsten Engel. D, is mounting a strong campaign for the seat. The primary is August 6.
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StateIncumbentPVICook RatingPrimary DateDemocratic CandidateRepublican Candidate
ArizonaOPEN -- (Sinema (I))R+2TossupJul-30Ruben Gallego*
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean DJun-11Jacky Rosen
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean DApr-23Bob CaseyDave McCormick
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean DAug-06Tammy Baldwin
MichiganOPEN -- (Stabinow (D))EVENLean DAug-06Elissa Slotkin*
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6TossupMar-19Sherrod BrownBernie Moreno
MontanaJon Tester (D)R+11TossupJun-04Jon TesterTim Sheehy
StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanParty in PowerCook RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaR+8DLean DAug-20Mary Peltola$2,574,831
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertR+2RToss UpJul-30David Schweikert$1,192,101
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniR+3RToss UpJul-30Juan Ciscomani$2,452,350
CaliforniaCA-47OPEN (Porter)D+3DLean DMar-5David Min $424,839Scott Baugh$1,903,809
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteD+4RToss UpMar-5Adam Gray$1,150,422John Duarte$1,813,336
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoD+5RToss UpMar-5Rudy Salas$754,435David Valadao$1,640,960
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaD+4RToss UpMar-5George Whitesides$3,047,188Mike Garcia$1,754,767
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertR+3RToss UpMar-5Will Rollins$3,162,026Ken Calvert$2,639,377
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelD+2RLean RMar-5Derek Tran$195,382Michelle Steel$3,218,738
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoEVENDToss UpJun-25Yadira Caraveo$1,997,583
ColoradoCO-03OPEN (Boebert)R+7RLean RJun-25OPEN (Boebert)
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesD+3DLean DAug-13Jahana Hayes$1,526,492
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenD+2DLean DMar-19Eric Sorensen$2,157,618Joseph McGraw$325,191
IndianaIN-01Frank MrvanD+3DLean DMay-7Frank Mrvan$1,238,183Randy Niemeyer$295,575
IowaIA-03Zach NunnR+3RLean RJun-4Lanon Baccam$1,153,969Zach Nunn$1,847,579
MaineME-02Jared GoldenR+6DToss UpJun-11Jared Golden$2,156,439
MichiganMI-07OPEN (Slotkin)R+2DToss UpAug-6
MichiganMI-08OPEN (Kildee)R+1DToss UpAug-6
MichiganMI-10John JamesR+3RLean RAug-6John James$2,958,581
MinnesotaMN-02Angie CraigD+1DLean DAug-13Angie Craig$2,822,415
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconEVENRLean RMay-14Tony Vargas$1,641,255Don Bacon$1,727,525
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeD+1DLean DJun-11Susie Lee$2,179,266Drew Johnson$211,437
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas KeanR+1RToss UpJun-4Sue Altman$913,939Thomas Kean$2,395,291
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezD+1DToss UpJun-4Gabe Vasquez$1,805,859Yvette Herrell$1,044,795
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanD+2DLean DJun-25Pat Ryan$2,768,926
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsD+3RLean DJun-25Brandon Williams$1,080,376
New YorkNY-04Anthony DEspositoD+5RToss UpJun-25Laura Gillen$879,583Anthony DEsposito$1,363,618
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerD+3RToss UpJun-25Mondaire Jones$3,115,165Mike Lawler$3,022,485
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroR+1RToss UpJun-25Josh Riley$2,508,263Marc Molinaro$1,767,264
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisR+1DToss UpMar-5Don Davis$1,845,760Laurie Buckhout$239,479
OhioOH-09Marcy KapturR+3DToss UpMar-19Marcy Kaptur$1,893,847Derek Merrin$88,166
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesR+1DToss UpMar-19Emilia Sykes$1,649,815Kevin Coughlin$76,192
OregonOR-06Andrea SalinasD+4DLean DMay-21Andrea Salinas$1,601,364Mike Erickson$140,962
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerD+2RLean RMay-21Janelle Bynum$560,821Lori Chavez-DeRemer$1,878,340
PennsylvaniaPA-17Chris DeluzioEVENDLean DApr-23Chris Deluzio$1,491,729Rob Mercuri$540,528
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildR+2DToss UpApr-23Susan Wild$2,662,153Ryan MacKenzie$126,142
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightR+4DToss UpApr-23Matt Cartwright$3,151,047Robert Bresnahan$834,919
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott PerryR+5RLean RApr-23Janelle Stelson$191,905Scott Perry$513,461
TexasTX-34Vicente GonzalezD+9DLean DMay-28Vicente Gonzalez$1,452,143Mayra Flores$786,597
VirginiaVA-07OPEN (Spanberger)D+1DLean DJun-18
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansR+2RLean RJun-18Jen Kiggans$1,785,014
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezR+5DToss UpAug-6Marie Gluesenkamp Perez$3,028,214
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenR+4RLean RAug-13Derrick Van Orden$1,946,820

A state that turned purple when it delivered its 11 electoral votes to Biden-Harris in 2020, Arizona is fueled by blue energy at every level. The overturning of the 1864 abortion ban law was a big first step. Abortion rights activists say they’re collected more than enough signatures to put the issue on the November ballot. In the state legislature, just two additional Democratic wins in the state House and two in the state Senate will claim the majority

Arizona boasts two of the fastest growing state legislative districts in the country. Most newcomers are young, professional, and Democratic. Meanwhile, AZ State Attorney General Kris Mayes’ investigation of the 2020 fake electors tied to Trump has led to Grand Jury charges.

Kari Lake, the failed gubernatorial candidate, and a bevy of other MAGA folk are roiling on the right while Volunteer Blue, along with its partners like Activate America and Swing Left, have targeted two currently Republican held House seats to flip—the 1st Congressional district, which includes Scottsdale, and the 6th anchored in Tucson.

The strategy in Arizona is to boost voter registration everywhere and reach out to low-propensity independent and Democratic voters throughout the state to increase voter turnout.



Diane Sherlock

Local Organization(s):
Swing Left Maricopa County

Project 15/30