Key Races in 2024

House and Senate Races in a Presidential Year

We only pick races where we think your support can make a real difference.

As it’s still quite early to analyze 2024, we base our current list on the Cook Political Report’s 2024 race ratings and present their list of most competitive races.  The Senate is a defense strategy — all competitive seats are held by Democrats.  The House is much more evenly split.

The map below shows key states. Light orange states have at least one key race. Darker orange indicates states with multiple House races or a Senate race. Check out the tables below the map for details about each race.

Interactive Map

AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC

Key Senate Races

Of the 33 Senate races this cycle, there are just seven competitive ones, all of which are currently held by Democrats. (All current Republican seats are rated likely or solid Republican).

StateIncumbentPVICook Rating
ArizonaKirsten Sinema (I)R+2Tossup
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean D
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean D
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean D
MichiganOpen (D) (Stabinow)EVENLean D
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6Tossup
MontanaJohn Tester (D)R+11Lean D

Key House Races

The current House breakdown is 212 Democrats vs 222 Republicans (with one vacancy). Competitive seats exist all over the country, many in states which won’t be central in the Presidential race. Those states will need extra attention: California, New York, Ohio, New Jersey, Colorado and Washington to name a few.

StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary Date
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-Aug
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Tossup19-Mar
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Tossup19-Mar
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D05-Mar
ColoradoCO-03Lauren BoebertRR+7Tossup25-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENTossup25-Jun
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-Aug
FloridaFL-05John RutherfordRR+11*Tossup20-Aug
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-Mar
IndianaIN-01Frank J. MrvanDD+3Lean D7-May
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-Jun
LouisianaLA-05Julia LetlowRR+17Tossup5-Nov
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Tossup18-Jun
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Tossup6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-Aug
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-May
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D11-Jun
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean Jr.RR+1Tossup4-Jun
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Tossup04-Jun
New YorkNY-03OPEN -- (Santos)RD+2Lean D25-Jun
New YorkNY-04Anthony D'EspositoRD+5Tossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Tossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+1Lean D25-Jun
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroREVENTossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+1Tossup25-Jun
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDD+2Lean D05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-06Kathy ManningDD+4Tossup05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-13Wiley NickelDR+2Tossup05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-14Jeff JacksonDD+6Tossup17-May
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDD+2Lean D19-Mar
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Tossup19-Mar
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Tossup21-May
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Tossup23-Apr
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Tossup23-Apr
VirginiaVA-07Open (Abigail Spanberger)DD+1Lean D18-Jun
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean R18-Jun
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5Tossup8/6/2024
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean R06-Aug
MichiganMI-08Dan KildeeDR+1Lean D06-Aug
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