Take Action Arizona

Senate (Flip - Sinema), AZ-01 (Flip - Schweikert), AZ-06 (Flip - Ciscomani)

The now independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema is being challenged by both Democrats and Republicans. Reuben Gallego, the U.S. Congressman for Arizona’s 3rd Congressional district, is leading the field of Democratic candidates. Sinema's Senate seat; rated as Tossup by Cook Political Report.

In the House races, AZ-01 and AZ-06 are ripe for flips. In AZ-01, Conor O’Callaghan and Andre Cherny lead the Democrats in campaign donations. In AZ-06, Arizona State Senator Kirsten Engel is mounting a strong campaign for the seat. Cook has has rated the races in AZ-01 and AZ-06 as Tossups. The primary is scheduled for August 6.
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SENATE RACE
StateIncumbentPVICook RatingPrimary Date
ArizonaKirsten Sinema (I)R+2TossupJul-30
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean DJun-11
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean DApr-23
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean DAug-06
MichiganOpen (D) (Stabinow)EVENLean DAug-06
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6TossupMar-19
MontanaJohn Tester (D)R+11Lean DJun-04
COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES
StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDemocratic CandidateRepublican Candidate
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean DAug-20
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2TossupJul-30
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3TossupJul-30
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4TossupMar-05Adam GrayJohn Duarte
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5TossupMar-05Rudy SalasDavid Valadao
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4TossupMar-05George WhitesidesMike Garcia
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3TossupMar-05Will RollinsKen Calvert
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean RMar-05TBD: Derek Tran / Kim Nguyen-PenalozaMichelle Steel
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean DMar-05Dave MinScott Baugh
ColoradoCO-03Lauren BoebertRR+7TossupJun-25
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENTossupJun-25
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean DAug-13
FloridaFL-05John RutherfordRR+11*TossupAug-20
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean DMar-19
IndianaIN-01Frank J. MrvanDD+3Lean DMay-07
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean RJun-04
LouisianaLA-05Julia LetlowRR+17TossupNov-05
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6TossupJun-11
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2TossupAug-06
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean RAug-06
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean RMay-14
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean DJun-11
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean Jr.RR+1TossupJun-04
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1TossupJun-04
New YorkNY-03OPEN -- (Santos)RD+2Lean DJun-25
New YorkNY-04Anthony D'EspositoRD+5TossupJun-25
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3TossupJun-25
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+1Lean DJun-25
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroREVENTossupJun-25
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+1TossupJun-25
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDD+2Lean DMar-05Don DavisLaurie Buckhout
North CarolinaNC-06Kathy ManningDD+4TossupMar-05Incumbent not runningAddison McDowell
North CarolinaNC-13Wiley NickelDR+2TossupMar-05Frank PierceRun-off May 14: Kelly Daughtry / Brad Knott
North CarolinaNC-14Jeff JacksonDD+6TossupMar-05Pam GenantTim Moore
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDD+2Lean DMar-19
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1TossupMar-19
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2TossupMay-21
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2TossupApr-23
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4TossupApr-23
VirginiaVA-07Open (Abigail Spanberger)DD+1Lean DJun-18
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean RJun-18
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5TossupAug-06
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean RAug-13
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Lean DAug-06

A state that turned purple when it delivered its 11 electoral votes to Biden-Harris in 2020, Arizona is fueled by blue energy at every level. Volunteers are collecting signatures across the state to put abortion access on the ballot, and in the state legislature, just two additional Democratic wins in the state House and two in the state Senate will claim the majority

Arizona boasts two of the fastest growing state legislative districts in the country—one in the east and the other on the west side of the Valley of the Sun, the suburbs surrounding Phoenix. Most newcomers are young, professional, and Democratic. Meanwhile, AZ State Attorney General Kris Mayes is investigating the 2020 fake electors tied to Trump, while Secretary of State Adrian Fontes perseveres in his renowned work as one of our nation’s strongest and most successful democracy defenders.

Kari Lake, the failed gubernatorial candidate, and a bevy of other MAGA folk are roiling on the right while Volunteer Blue, along with its partners like Activate America and Swing Left, have targeted two currently Republican held House seats to flip—the 1st Congressional district, which includes Scottsdale, and the 6th anchored in Tucson.

The strategy in Arizona is to increase voter registration everywhere, including in the demographically dynamic legislative districts and established Latino communities and among native Americans living on tribal lands. Grassroots organizations also will be reaching out to low-propensity independent and Democratic voters throughout the state to boost voter turnout.

Events

Resources

Coordinator(s):
Diane Sherlock

Local Organization(s):
Swing Left Maricopa County

Project 15/30

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