Take Action Arizona

Senate (Flip - Sinema), AZ-01 (Flip - Schweikert), AZ-06 (Flip - Ciscomani)

The now independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema is being challenged by both Democrats and Republicans. Reuben Gallego, the U.S. Congressman for Arizona’s 3rd Congressional district, is leading the field of Democratic candidates. Sinema's Senate seat; rated as Tossup by Cook Political Report.

In the House races, AZ-01 and AZ-06 are ripe for flips. In AZ-01, Conor O’Callaghan and Andre Cherny lead the Democrats in campaign donations. In AZ-06, Arizona State Senator Kirsten Engel is mounting a strong campaign for the seat. Cook has has rated the races in AZ-01 and AZ-06 as Tossups. The primary is scheduled for August 6.
[Read More Below]

StateIncumbentPVICook Rating
ArizonaKirsten Sinema (I)R+2Tossup
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)EVENLean D
PennsylvaniaBob Casey (D)R+2Lean D
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)R+2Lean D
MichiganOpen (D) (Stabinow)EVENLean D
OhioSherrod Brown (D)R+6Tossup
MontanaJohn Tester (D)R+11Lean D
StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary Date$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean D20-Aug
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2Tossup19-Mar
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3Tossup19-Mar
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3Tossup05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean R05-Mar
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean D05-Mar
ColoradoCO-03Lauren BoebertRR+7Tossup25-Jun
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENTossup25-Jun
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean D13-Aug
FloridaFL-05John RutherfordRR+11*Tossup20-Aug
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean D19-Mar
IndianaIN-01Frank J. MrvanDD+3Lean D7-May
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean R4-Jun
LouisianaLA-05Julia LetlowRR+17Tossup5-Nov
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6Tossup18-Jun
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2Tossup6-Aug
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean R6-Aug
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean R14-May
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean D11-Jun
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean Jr.RR+1Tossup4-Jun
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1Tossup04-Jun
New YorkNY-03OPEN -- (Santos)RD+2Lean D25-Jun
New YorkNY-04Anthony D'EspositoRD+5Tossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3Tossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+1Lean D25-Jun
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroREVENTossup25-Jun
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+1Tossup25-Jun
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDD+2Lean D05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-06Kathy ManningDD+4Tossup05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-13Wiley NickelDR+2Tossup05-Mar
North CarolinaNC-14Jeff JacksonDD+6Tossup17-May
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDD+2Lean D19-Mar
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1Tossup19-Mar
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2Tossup21-May
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2Tossup23-Apr
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4Tossup23-Apr
VirginiaVA-07Open (Abigail Spanberger)DD+1Lean D18-Jun
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean R18-Jun
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5Tossup8/6/2024
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean R06-Aug
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Lean D06-Aug

A state that turned purple when it delivered its 11 electoral votes to Biden-Harris in 2020, Arizona is fueled by blue energy at every level. Volunteers are collecting signatures across the state to put abortion access on the ballot, and in the state legislature, just two additional Democratic wins in the state House and two in the state Senate will claim the majority

Arizona boasts two of the fastest growing state legislative districts in the country—one in the east and the other on the west side of the Valley of the Sun, the suburbs surrounding Phoenix. Most newcomers are young, professional, and Democratic. Meanwhile, AZ State Attorney General Kris Mayes is investigating the 2020 fake electors tied to Trump, while Secretary of State Adrian Fontes perseveres in his renowned work as one of our nation’s strongest and most successful democracy defenders.

Kari Lake, the failed gubernatorial candidate, and a bevy of other MAGA folk are roiling on the right while Volunteer Blue, along with its partners like Activate America and Swing Left, have targeted two currently Republican held House seats to flip—the 1st Congressional district, which includes Scottsdale, and the 6th anchored in Tucson.

The strategy in Arizona is to increase voter registration everywhere, including in the demographically dynamic legislative districts and established Latino communities and among native Americans living on tribal lands. Grassroots organizations also will be reaching out to low-propensity independent and Democratic voters throughout the state to boost voter turnout.



Diane Sherlock

Local Organization(s):
Swing Left Maricopa County

Mission Arizona

project 15/30