Take Action Pennsylvania

Senate (Fetterman), PA-07 (Wild), PA-08 (Cartwright), PA-17 (Deluzio)

The Pennsylvania open Senate seat has turned into a high visibility race. Candidate and state Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, with his signature tattoos, bald head, and hoodie, has captured the attention of thousands of social media users. His Republican opponent, Mehmet Oz, television purveyor of dubious medical advice, has also grabbed headlines. Fetterman has made the question of Oz’s true residency and his flip-flopping on abortion as key campaign issues, while Oz has attacked Fetterman’s health and what Oz has called a soft-on-crime record.

Overall, the state of Pennsylvania has a partisan lean of R+2, but the Senate race is rated as Lean D by Cook and Tossup by Sabato. A Marist poll on Sept. 27 showed Fetterman with a 10-point lead over Oz. Since then, Fetterman’s lead over Oz has tightened, but he is still ahead.

In PA-07, incumbent Congresswoman Susan Wild will face Lisa Scheller, who won a narrow victory in the Republican primary. The 2022 midterm will be a rematch. Wild beat Scheller in 2020, 51.9 to 48.1%. This year, Scheller had a tough primary, while Wild faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.

Wild was first elected in the 2018 Blue Wave, the first woman to represent the Lehigh Valley in Congress. On her campaign website, Wild says, “I will always fight for a woman’s right to control her own body, make her own health care decisions, and have equal rights and protection in the workplace.” Sheller has never held an elective office. She speaks openly of her heroin addiction as a young adult and her subsequent recovery. She supports abortion only in cases of rape, incest, and the life of the mother.

PA-08 Democratic incumbent Matt Cartwright has served in Congress since 2012. In the midterms, his opponent is millionaire Jim Bognet. Prior to working in the Trump administration, Bognet was a senior vice president at one of Saudi Arabia’s most powerful lobbying firms in Washington, D.C. He has Trump’s endorsement.

In Congress, Cartwright worked to protect and expand Medicare and Medicaid, lower out of pocket premiums, and maintain protections for people with pre-existing conditions. He voted for the Women’s Health Protection and the Ensuring Access to Abortion acts. Bognet supports a total abortion ban.

PA-17 is an open seat because Conor Lamb lost his bid to run for the U.S. Senate in the state’s primary. The district is north and west of Pittsburgh. and is rated Even and a Tossup. A Democrat has represented the district since 2003, but it’s a swing district this year.

Democratic candidate Chris Deluzio is a U.S. Navy Iraq War veteran and voting rights attorney who currently serves as policy director of the University of Pittsburgh Institute for Cyber Law, Policy, and Security. Deluzio will face Jeremy Shaffer in the midterms.

Deluzio supports reproductive freedom as a basic human right. He backs unions and says he will push to invest in clean energy sources like solar, hydropower, and wind.
Shaffer has praised SCOTUS overturning Roe v. Wade and attacks so-called Critical Race Theory as promoting divisiveness. Shaffer said he’d be honored by Trump’s endorsement, though he hasn’t received it. He has given his own campaign more than $1 million.

SENATE RACE

ResultStateIncumbentPVICook RatingSabato RatingDem CandidateRep Candidate
WINArizonaMark Kelly (D)R+2TossupTossupMark KellyBlake Masters
WINGeorgiaRaphael Warnock (D)R+3TossupTossupRaphael WarnockHerschel Walker
WINNevadaCatherine Cortez Masto (D)EVENTossupTossupCatherine Cortez MastoAdam Laxalt
WINNew HampshireMaggie Hassan (D)EVENLean DLean DMaggie HassanDon Bolduc
WINPennsylvaniaOpen (R)R+2Lean DTossupJohn FettermanMehmet Oz
LOSSWisconsinRon Johnson (R)R+2TossupLean RMandela BarnesRon Johnson
LOSSNorth CarolinaOpen (R)EVENLean RLean RCheri BeasleyTheodore P Budd
LOSSOhioOpen (R)R+6Lean RLean RTimothy RyanJ D Vance
LOSSFloridaMarco Rubio (R)R+3Lean RLikely RVal DemingsMarco Rubio
COMPETITIVE PA RACES

ResultsStateDistrictIncumbentPVICook RatingDem CandidateRep Candidate
WINAlaskaAKALMary Peltola (Special Election)R+8Lean DTossupMary PeltolaMary PeltolaSarah Palin
LOSSArizonaAZ01David Schweikert (R)R+2TossupLean R2-AugJevin D Hodge ($706,318)David S. Schweikert ($645,690)
LOSSArizonaAZ02Tom O'Halleran (D)R+6Lean RLean RTom O'HalleranEli Crane (R)
LOSSArizonaAZ06Open (D)R+3Lean RLean R2-AugKirsten Engel ($1,041,479)Juan Ciscomani ($1,658,991)
WINCaliforniaCA09Josh Harder (D)D+5Likely DLean D7-JunJosh Harder ($4,233,777)Thomas Patti ($498,400)
LOSSCaliforniaCA13Open (D)D+4TossupTossup7-JunAdam C. Gray ($664,425)John S Duarte ($234,450)
LOSSCaliforniaCA22David Valadao (R)D+5TossupTossup7-JunRudy Salas ($460,158)David Valadao ($1,752,035)
LOSSCaliforniaCA27Mike Garcia (R)D+4TossupTossup7-JunChristy Smith ($830,862)Michael Garcia ($3,682,830)
LOSSCaliforniaCA41Ken Calvert (R)R+3Lean RLean R7-JunWill RollinsKen Calvert
LOSSCaliforniaCA45Michelle Steel (R)D+2Lean RLean R7-JunJay Chen ($1,964,097)Michelle Steel ($2,744,333)
WINCaliforniaCA47Katie Porter (D)D+3Lean DLean D7-JunKatie Porter ($13,268,126)Scott Baugh ($1,368,313)
WINCaliforniaCA49Mike Levin (D)D+3Lean DLean D7-JunMike Levin ($2,594,411)Brian L Maryott ($774,200)
WINColoradoCO08New Seat (N)EVENTossupLean R28-JunYadira Caraveo ($567,794)Barbara Kirkmeyer ($291,808)
WINConnecticutCT05Jahana Hayes (D)D+3Lean DLean D9-AugJahana Hayes ($1,112,088)George S Logan ($375,091)
LOSSIowaIA03Cindy Axne (D)R+3Lean RLean R7-JunCindy AxneZach Nunn ($695,573)
WINIllinoisIL13Open (N)D+3Lean DLean D28-JunNikki Budzinski ($1,438,783)Regan Deering ($113,496)
WINIllinoisIL17Open (D)D+2TossupTossup28-JunEric Sorensen ($307,547)Esther Joy King ($2,299,211)
WINIndianaIN01Frank J. Mrvan (D)D+3TossupTossup3-MayFrank J Mrvan ($640,557)Jennifer-Ruth Green ($346,964)
WINKansasKS03Sharice Davids (D)R+1TossupTossup2-AugSharice Davids ($3,513,158)Amanda Adkins ($1,767,432)
WINMaineME02Jared Golden (D)R+6TossupTossup14-JunJared Golden ($2,705,743)Bruce Lee Poliquin ($2,016,947)
WINMichiganMI03Peter Meijer (R)D+1Lean DLean D2-AugHillary ScholtenJohn Gibbs
WINMichiganMI07Elissa Slotkin (D)R+2TossupTossup2-AugElissa Slotkin ($4,756,462)Thomas More Barrett ($1,045,254)
WINMichiganMI08Dan Kildee (D)R+1TossupTossup2-AugDaniel Kildee ($2,192,936)Paul Junge ($207,097)
WINMinnesotaMN02Angie Craig (D)D+1TossupTossup9-AugAngie Craig ($3,613,413)Tyler Kistner ($1,553,556)
WINNorth CarolinaNC01Open (D)D+2Lean DLean D17-MayDon Davis ($450,078)Sandy Smith ($789,108)
WINNorth CarolinaNC13Open (R)R+2TossupLean R17-MayWiley Nickel ($466,242)Robert Hines ($1,636,468)
WINNew HampshireNH01Chris Pappas (D)EVENTossupTossup13-SepChris PappasKaroline Leavitt
WINNew HampshireNH02Annie Kuster (D)D+2Lean DLean D13-SepAnnie KusterBob Burns
LOSSNew JerseyNJ07Tom Malinowski (D)R+1Lean RLean R7-JunTom Malinowski ($4,555,639)Thomas H. Kean ($1,844,184)
WINNew MexicoNM02Yvette Herrell (R)D+1TossupTossup7-JunGabriel Vasquez ($588,777)Stella Yvette Herrell ($2,397,713)
WINNevadaNV01Dina Titus (D)D+3TossupLean D14-Jun Dina Titus ($1,030,454)Mark Robertson ($415,107)
WINNevadaNV03Susie Lee (D)D+1TossupTossup14-JunSusie Lee ($2,927,013)April Becker ($1,009,569)
WINNevadaNV04Steven Horsford (D)D+3TossupLean D14-JunSteve Horsford ($2,290,819)Samuel James Peters ($654,592)
LOSSNew YorkNY01Open (R)R+3Lean RLean R23-AugBridget Fleming/key_candidates/bridget-fleming/Nicholas LaLota
LOSSNew YorkNY03Open (D)D+2Lean DLean D23-AugRobert ZimmermanNot available yetGeorge Santos
LOSSNew YorkNY17Sean Patrick Maloney (D)D+3Lean DLean D23-AugSean Patrick Maloney/key_candidates/sean-patrick-maloney/Michael Lawler
WINNew YorkNY18Open (D)D+1Lean DLean D23-AugPat RyanColin Schmitt
LOSSNew YorkNY19Pat Ryan (D) (special election)EVENTossupTossup23-AugJosh RileyMarc Molinaro
LOSSNew YorkNY22Open (R)D+1TossupTossup23-AugFrancis ConoleBrandon Williams
WINOhioOH01Steve Chabot (R)D+2TossupTossup3-MayGreg Landsman ($575,540)Steve Chabot ($881,071)
WINOhioOH09Marcy Kaptur (D)R+3Lean DTossup3-MayMarcy Kaptur ($1,051,851)J R Majewski ($418,741)
WINOhioOH13Open (D)R+1TossupTossup3-MayEmilia Sykes ($402,292)Madison Gesiotto Gilbert ($409,631)
LOSSOregonOR05Open (D)D+2TossupTossup17-MayJamie Mcleod-Skinner ($935,656)Lori Chavez-Deremer ($355,225)
WINPennsylvaniaPA07Susan Wild (D)R+2TossupTossup17-MaySusan Wild ($3,006,083)Lisa Scheller ($1,189,912)
WINPennsylvaniaPA08Matt Cartwright (D)R+4TossupTossup17-MayMatt Cartwright ($2,546,102)Jim Bognet ($713,988)
WINPennsylvaniaPA17Open (D)EVENTossupTossup17-MayChris Deluzio ($446,030)/key_candidates/chris-deluzio/Jeremy Shaffer ($175,352)
WINRhode IslandRI02Open (D)D+4TossupLean D13-SepSeth MagazinerAllen Fung
WINTexasTX28Henry Cuellar (D)D+3Lean DTossup24-MayHenry Cuellar ($3,832,815)Cassandra Garcia ($376,975)
WINTexasTX34Merged Seat (D)D+9TossupLean D24-MayVicente Gonzalez ($1,971,149)Mayra Nohemi Flores ($402,736)
LOSSVirginiaVA02Elaine Luria (D)R+2TossupTossup21-JunElaine Luria ($3,806,720)Jennifer Kiggans ($1,646,888)
WINVirginiaVA07Abigail Spanberger (D)D+1Lean DLean D21-JunAbigail Spanberger ($4,246,473)Yesli Vega ($356,105)
WINWashingtonWA08Kim Schrier (D)D+1TossupTossup2-AugKim Schrier ($4,136,518)Matt Larkin ($398,614)
LOSSWisconsinWI03Open (D)R+4Lean RLean R9-AugDerrick Van Orden

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Coordinator(s):
Bob Scheier

Local Organization(s):
MA Flip PA

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