Take Action: California

CA-13; CA-22, CA-27; CA- 41; CA-45; CA-47 (Open)

Redistricting in California created more GOP-favored districts, leading to a disappointing showing in the 2022 U.S. House elections. No incumbents were unseated, but Democrats lost two districts, and in Washington, Democrats lost control of the House.

In 2024, Democrats are focusing on the state to ensure a stronger showing across the board. California remains a battleground. According to the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, 10 California seats are in play in the upcoming election.

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COMPETITIVE CA RACES
StateDistrictIncumbentParty in PowerPartisan LeanCook RatingPrimary DateDemocratic CandidateRepublican Candidate
AlaskaAK-00Mary PeltolaDR+8Lean DAug-20
ArizonaAZ-01David SchweikertRR+2TossupJul-30
ArizonaAZ-06Juan CiscomaniRR+3TossupJul-30
CaliforniaCA-13John DuarteRD+4TossupMar-05Adam GrayJohn Duarte
CaliforniaCA-22David ValadaoRD+5TossupMar-05Rudy SalasDavid Valadao
CaliforniaCA-27Mike GarciaRD+4TossupMar-05George WhitesidesMike Garcia
CaliforniaCA-41Ken CalvertRR+3TossupMar-05Will RollinsKen Calvert
CaliforniaCA-45Michelle SteelRD+2Lean RMar-05TBD: Derek Tran / Kim Nguyen-PenalozaMichelle Steel
CaliforniaCA-47Open (Porter)DD+3Lean DMar-05Dave MinScott Baugh
ColoradoCO-03Lauren BoebertRR+7TossupJun-25
ColoradoCO-08Yadira CaraveoDEVENTossupJun-25
ConnecticutCT-05Jahana HayesDD+3Lean DAug-13
FloridaFL-05John RutherfordRR+11*TossupAug-20
IllinoisIL-17Eric SorensenDD+2Lean DMar-19
IndianaIN-01Frank J. MrvanDD+3Lean DMay-07
IowaIA-03Zach NunnRR+3Lean RJun-04
LouisianaLA-05Julia LetlowRR+17TossupNov-05
MaineME-02Jared GoldenDR+6TossupJun-11
MichiganMI-07Open (Slotkin)DR+2TossupAug-06
MichiganMI-10John JamesRR+3Lean RAug-06
NebraskaNE-02Don BaconREVENLean RMay-14
NevadaNV-03Susie LeeDD+1Lean DJun-11
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean Jr.RR+1TossupJun-04
New MexicoNM-02Gabe VasquezDD+1TossupJun-04
New YorkNY-03OPEN -- (Santos)RD+2Lean DJun-25
New YorkNY-04Anthony D'EspositoRD+5TossupJun-25
New YorkNY-17Mike LawlerRD+3TossupJun-25
New YorkNY-18Pat RyanDD+1Lean DJun-25
New YorkNY-19Marc MolinaroREVENTossupJun-25
New YorkNY-22Brandon WilliamsRD+1TossupJun-25
North CarolinaNC-01Don DavisDD+2Lean DMar-05Don DavisLaurie Buckhout
North CarolinaNC-06Kathy ManningDD+4TossupMar-05Incumbent not runningAddison McDowell
North CarolinaNC-13Wiley NickelDR+2TossupMar-05Frank PierceRun-off May 14: Kelly Daughtry / Brad Knott
North CarolinaNC-14Jeff JacksonDD+6TossupMar-05Pam GenantTim Moore
OhioOH-01Greg LandsmanDD+2Lean DMar-19
OhioOH-13Emilia SykesDR+1TossupMar-19
OregonOR-05Lori Chavez-DeRemerRD+2TossupMay-21
PennsylvaniaPA-07Susan WildDR+2TossupApr-23
PennsylvaniaPA-08Matt CartwrightDR+4TossupApr-23
VirginiaVA-07Open (Abigail Spanberger)DD+1Lean DJun-18
VirginiaVA-02Jen KiggansRR+2Lean RJun-18
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp PerezDR+5TossupAug-06
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van OrdenRR+4Lean RAug-13
MichiganMI-08Open (Kildee)DR+1Lean DAug-06

The outcome in a string of contested California districts will be critical in determining the balance of power in Congress. Volunteer Blue is focusing on one open seat in CA-47 and five seats that can be flipped (CA districts 13, 22, 27, 41, and 45). Four of the five GOP-held districts are considered Tossups, while CA-45 is Lean R. The June 7 primary will determine what Democrat will be running in those five districts.

House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, Is targeting four California Republicans: Mike Garcia (CA-27), Young Kim (CA-40), Ken Calvert (CA-41), and Michelle Steel CA-45).

One open U.S. Senate seat, formerly held by the late Dianne Feinstein, boasts dozens of declared candidates, though the most well-known are Democrats currently serving in Congress – Katie Porter (CA-47) and Adam Schiff (CA-30) as front-runners with Barbara Lee (CA-12) trailing in polls and fund-raising.

California has been a bellwether for national politics in recent years, and the results of these races could have a significant impact on the balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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