Take Action Michigan

Name: Zoom Phone Bank for Democrats!
Start: 2024-10-12T09:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-10-12T20:00:00-04:00
Location: virtual

Senate (Open - Slotkin), MI-07 (Open - Hertel), MI-08 (Open - McDonald Rivet), MI-10 (Flip - Marlinga)

Incumbent Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow, in office since 2000, is not seeking a fifth term. Current MI-07 Representative Elissa Slotkin won the Aug. 6 primary by 80.5%. Slotkin served three tours in Iraq in the CIA, and later at the White House, State Department, and finally at the Pentagon.

Former state senator Curtis Hertel is running in a tossup race for the open seat in MI-07 but has outraised his opponent. Kristen McDonald Rivet is running in MI-08, which is open due to the incumbent’s retirement. Democrats hope to flip M-10. Former prosecutor and Federal Appeals Court judge Carl Marlinga is running against a one-term representative who had won by only 1,600 votes in 2022.
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MICHIGAN COMPETITIVE RACES

SENATE

State	Incumbent	Partisan Lean	Cook Rating	Sabato Rating	Primary Date	Democratic Candidate	Republican Candidate
Arizona	OPEN -- (Sinema (I))	R+2	Lean D	Lean D	Jul-30	Ruben Gallego	Kari Lake
Nevada	Jacky Rosen (D)	EVEN	Lean D	Lean D	Jun-11	Jacky Rosen	Sam Brown
Pennsylvania	Bob Casey (D)	R+2	Lean D	Lean D	Apr-23	Bob Casey	Dave McCormick
Wisconsin	Tammy Baldwin (D)	R+2	Tossup	Lean D	Aug-13	Tammy Baldwin	Eric Hovde
Michigan	OPEN -- (Stabinow (D))	EVEN	Tossup	Lean D	Aug-06	Elissa Slotkin	Mike Rogers
Ohio	Sherrod Brown (D)	R+6	Tossup	Tossup	Mar-19	Sherrod Brown	Bernie Moreno
Montana	Jon Tester (D)	R+11	Lean R	Lean R	Jun-04	Jon Tester	Tim Sheehy
Nebraska	Deb Fischer (R)	R+13	Likely R	Likely R	May-14	Dan Osborn (Ind)	Deb Fischer

HOUSE

State	District	Incumbent	Partisan Lean	Party in Power	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)	Fundraising Target
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	R+8	D	Tossup	Aug-20	Mary Peltola	$3,338,609	Multiple	$840,000
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R+2	R	Toss Up	Jul-30	Amish Shah	$216,508	David Schweikert	$1,548,761	Yes
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R+3	R	Toss Up	Jul-30	Kirsten Engel	$3,197,698	Juan Ciscomani	$2,667,947
California	CA-47	OPEN (Porter)	D+3	D	Lean D	Mar-5	David Min	$1,525,657	Scott Baugh	$2,277,891	Yes
California	CA-13	John Duarte	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Adam Gray	$1,816,564	John Duarte	$2,078,186	Yes
California	CA-22	David Valadao	D+5	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Rudy Salas	$1,741,508	David Valadao	$2,000,244	Yes
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	George Whitesides	$3,879,062	Mike Garcia	$2,226,582
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R+3	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Will Rollins	$4,747,346	Ken Calvert	$3,618,194
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	D+2	R	Tossup	Mar-5	Derek Tran	$1,156,780	Michelle Steel	$3,792,958
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	EVEN	D	Toss Up	Jun-25	Yadira Caraveo	$3,464,254	Gabe Evans	$532,844
Colorado	CO-03	OPEN (Boebert)	R+7	R	Lean R	Jun-25	Adam Frisch	$3,924,268	Jeff Hurd	$156,577
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D+3	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Jahana Hayes	$2,065,380	George Logan	$1,013,129
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D+2	D	Lean D	Mar-19	Eric Sorensen	$2,590,786	Joseph McGraw	$475,444
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D+3	D	Lean D	May-7	Frank Mrvan	$1,472,994	Randy Niemeyer	$446,529
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R+3	R	Lean R	Jun-4	Lanon Baccam	$1,594,015	Zach Nunn	$2,439,075
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	R+6	D	Toss Up	Jun-11	Jared Golden	$3,289,109	Austin Theriault	$898,582
Michigan	MI-07	OPEN (Slotkin)	R+2	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Curtis Hertel	$3,280,946	Tom Barrett	$1,215,354
Michigan	MI-08	OPEN (Kildee)	R+1	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Kristen McDonald Rivet	$805,117	Paul Junge	$332,295
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R+3	R	Lean R	Aug-6	Carl Marlinga	$104,385	John James	$4,016,408
Minnesota	MN-02	Angie Craig	D+1	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Angie Craig	$3,833,263	Joe Teirab	$813,428
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	EVEN	R	Tossup	May-14	Tony Vargas	$2,524,082	Don Bacon	$2,215,340
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-11	Susie Lee	$2,989,768	Drew Johnson	$49,936
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R+1	R	Lean R	Jun-4	Sue Altman	$2,223,330	Thomas Kean	$3,005,363
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D+1	D	Toss Up	Jun-4	Gabe Vasquez	$2,702,018	Yvette Herrell	$1,354,939
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D+2	D	Lean D	Jun-25	Pat Ryan	$3,544,699	Alison Esposito	$729,460
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	D+3	R	Lean D	Jun-25	John Mannion	$340,531	Brandon Williams	$1,363,587
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	D+5	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Laura Gillen	$2,518,692	Anthony DEsposito	$2,171,544
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	D+3	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Mondaire Jones	$4,312,537	Mike Lawler	$3,930,456
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Josh Riley	$4,001,183	Marc Molinaro	$2,260,325
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-5	Don Davis	$2,621,138	Laurie Buckhout	$600,021
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	R+3	D	Lean D	Mar-19	Marcy Kaptur	$2,636,320	Derek Merrin	$408,073
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Emilia Sykes	$2,369,256	Kevin Coughlin	$389,218
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D+4	D	Lean D	May-21	Andrea Salinas	$2,169,080	Mike Erickson	$234,144
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	D+2	R	Tossup	May-21	Janelle Bynum	$1,087,862	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$2,409,555
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	EVEN	D	Lean D	Apr-23	Chris Deluzio	$1,871,536	Rob Mercuri	$801,259
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	R+2	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Susan Wild	$3,855,492	Ryan MacKenzie	$373,255
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	R+4	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Matt Cartwright	$4,538,774	Robert Bresnahan	$1,225,264
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R+5	R	Lean R	Apr-23	Janelle Stelson	$1,115,431	Scott Perry	$788,823
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D+9	D	Lean D	May-28	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,679,288	Mayra Flores	$1,093,137
Virginia	VA-07	OPEN (Spanberger)	D+1	D	Tossup	Jun-18	Eugene Vindman	$2,284,458	Derrick Anderson	$460,802
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R+2	R	Lean R	Jun-18	Missy Cotter Smasal	$584,974	Jen Kiggans	$2,471,942
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	R+5	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$3,825,433	Joe Kent	$585,494
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R+4	R	Lean R	Aug-13	Rebecca Cooke	$1,050,132	Derrick Van Orden	$2,383,946

Coming off historic losses in 2022, the Michigan Republican State Party is in dire financial straits, and the infighting has been fierce. A report issued by a GOP activist says most party bank accounts are empty. This chaos and lack of capital likely will provide a boon for the state’s Democrats.

The House races:

MI-07: Both parties are eyeing the open seat in MI-07, a district of growing diversity. The outcome of the election likely will hinge on voter turnout. It is rated a Tossup.
M-08: Redistricting made MI-08 more red, but incumbent Kildee won by 10 points in 2022, good news for whoever wins the Democratic primary in August. The district is rated Toss-up.
MI-10: A suburban district north of Detroit, MI-10 is eminently flippable. It is rated Lean R, but the current Republican incumbent, who had a great financial advantage, won by only 1,600 votes in 2022.

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