Florida is tough for Democrats. It is R+3 and is rated lean Republican by Cook and likely R by Sabato.
The Republican state legislature and the courts handed Gov. Ron DeSantis a win when neither blocked his highly gerrymandered redistricting map. The Princeton Gerrymandering Project gave the Florida redistricting plan an overall grade of F. Florida is also gaining a House seat, and DeSantis’ map gives Republicans an advantage in 18 out of the 28 districts. Florida currently has 16 Republican congressmen.
Many Democratic seats will be nearly impossible to hold including FL-13, Charlie Crist’s seat; FL-07, Stephanie Murphy’s seat; and the new FL-15. This leaves no competitive House seats in the state of Florida.