Take Action New York

Name: POSTCARDING w/DOLLY into Swing States
Start: 2024-07-17T17:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-07-17T19:00:00-04:00
Location: virtual

NY-03 (Suozzi; NY-18 (Ryan), Flip:, NY-04 (D'Esposito), NY-17 (Lawler), NY-19 (Molinaro), NY-22 (Williams)

Democrat Tom Suozzi flipped the seat held previously by the Olympic-Gold-Liar Republican George Santos. In November there is an opportunity to flip four more U.S. House seats in New York. Additionally there is one competitive Democratic seat won by Freshman Rep Pat Ryan in NY-18 to defend. If Dems win these races, New York can singularly flip the House.

[Read More on NY Below]

COMPETITIVE RACES IN NEW YORK

State	District	Incumbent	Party	Partisan Lean	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	D	R+8	Lean D	20-Aug	Mary Peltola	$1,774,747
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R	R+2	Toss Up	30-Jul			David Schweikert	$901,940
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R	R+3	Toss Up	30-Jul			Juan Ciscomani	$2,130,200
California	CA-13	John Duarte	R	D+4	Toss Up	5-Mar	Adam Gray	$468,385	John Duarte	$1,487,119
California	CA-22	David Valadao	R	D+5	Toss Up	5-Mar	Rudy Salas	$122,207	David Valadao	$1,323,307
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	R	D+4	Toss Up	5-Mar	George Whitesides	$2,508,524	Mike Garcia	$1,560,751
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R	R+3	Toss Up	5-Mar	Will Rollins	$2,424,885	Ken Calvert	$2,334,274
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	R	D+2	Lean R	5-Mar	Derek Tran	$66,630	Michelle Steel	$2,932,122
California	CA-47	Open (Porter)	D	D+3	Lean D	5-Mar	David Min	$224,079	Scott Baugh	$1,707,928
Colorado	CO-03	Open (Boebert)	R	R+7	Lean R	25-Jun
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	D	EVEN	Toss Up	25-Jun	Yadira Caraveo	$1,359,808
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D	D+3	Lean D	13-Aug	Jahana Hayes	$1,030,642
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R	R+3	Lean R	4-Jun			Zach Nunn	$1,594,585
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D	D+2	Lean D	19-Mar	Eric Sorensen	$1,631,531	Joe McGraw	$218,150
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D	D+3	Lean D	7-May	Frank Mrvan	$823,242
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	D	R+6	Toss Up	11-Jun	Jared Golden	$1,436,515
Michigan	MI-07	Open (Slotkin)	D	R+2	Toss Up	6-Aug
Michigan	MI-08	Open (Kildee)	D	R+1	Toss Up	6-Aug
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R	R+3	Lean R	6-Aug			John James	$2,346,810
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	D	R+1	Toss Up	5-Mar	Don Davis	$961,681	Laurie Buckhout	$314,724
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	R	EVEN	Lean R	14-May			Don Bacon	$1,547,517
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R	R+1	Toss Up	4-Jun			Thomas Kean	$2,110,338
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D	D+1	Toss Up	4-Jun	Gabe Vasquez	$1,247,093
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D	D+1	Lean D	11-Jun	Susie Lee	$1,584,749
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	R	D+5	Toss Up	25-Jun			Anthony DEsposito	$1,247,942
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	R	D+3	Toss Up	25-Jun			Mike Lawler	$2,500,120
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D	D+2	Lean D	25-Jun	Pat Ryan	$2,211,915
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R	R+1	Toss Up	25-Jun			Marc Molinaro	$1,618,917
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	R	D+3	Lean D	25-Jun			Brandon Williams	$913,071
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	D	R+3	Toss Up	19-Mar	Marcy Kaptur	$1,324,671
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	D	R+1	Toss Up	19-Mar	Emilia Sykes	$1,112,476	Kevin Coughlin	$248,119
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	R	D+2	Toss Up	21-May			Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$1,608,022
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D	D+4	Lean D	21-May	Andrea Salinas	$1,097,894
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	D	R+2	Toss Up	23-Apr	Susan Wild	$1,578,262	Ryan Mackenzie	$137,616
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	D	R+4	Toss Up	23-Apr	Matt Cartwright	$2,012,463	Robert Bresnahan	$636,332
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R	R+5	Lean R	23-Apr	Janelle Stelson	$140,288	Scott Perry	$547,159
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	D	EVEN	Lean D	23-Apr	Chris Deluzio	$986,156	Rob Mercuri	$281,539
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D	D+9	Lean D	28-May	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,208,034
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R	R+2	Lean R	18-Jun			Jen Kiggans	$1,504,729
Virginia	VA-07	Open (Spanberger)	D	D+1	Lean D	18-Jun
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	D	R+5	Toss Up	6-Aug	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$2,181,055
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R	R+4	Lean R	13-Aug			Derrick Van Orden	$1,617,321

Even considering the good news of Suozzi’s win, Democratic candidates’ holding that seat and NY-18 and flip ingthe four other Congressional seats will be a battle.

Of note are four seats currently held by Republicans – NY-04, NY-17, NY-19, and NY-22. These four are rated Tossups and are eminently “flippable.” First term Democratic incumbent Pat Ryan (NY-18) is running for reelection in a district deemed Lean D.

Some key considerations in New York center on redistricting. The state appeals court has yet to issue its decision on redrawing the maps, but the Independent Redistricting Committee is being allowed to proceed in revising the 2022 maps that favored Republicans.

Responding to the Republican showing in the midterms, the NY Democratic Party and grassroots groups working in the state are taking no vote for granted. Democratic leaders are planning a ballot measure that will enshrine abortion in the state constitution. It’s a move seen as boosting Democratic turnout, which in turn, will help the party win more Congressional and local races.

The 2024 elections will be a crucial test for both parties, and the results will have far-reaching implications for the future of democracy in the state and in the country.

Show More about NY Races and candidates Show Less

NY RACES CANVASSING OPPORTUNITIES