Take Action North Carolina

Senate (Open), NC-01 Hold (Don Davis, D)

Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper is the Democrats’ best chance to flip a Senate Seat in 2026, according to the Cook Report. Having nearly 40 years in public office, Cooper has never lost an election. However, the race is rated a Tossup. His main Republican opponent is political insider Michael Whatley, who served one year as chair of the Republican National Committee.

North Carolina politics is notoriously unpredictable. The 2026 Senate election is likely to be among the most competitive and the most expensive races.

In NC-01, Democratic incumbent Don Davis is battling for re-election in a Lean R race. Davis, who was first elected in 2022, has two Republican opponents, but one that has deep pockets, having contributed $2 million of his own money to his own campaign.

COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES

StateDistrictIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDem Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Rep Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
ArizonaAZ-01OPEN (David Schweikert (R))RepublicanR+1Toss Up72.8% (D)21-Jul-26Yes
ArizonaAZ-06Juan Ciscomani (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up68.8% (D)21-Jul-26Juan CiscomaniH2AZ02360$6,172,867Yes
CaliforniaCA-13Adam Gray (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D96.8% (D)26-Jun-26Adam GrayH2CA13115$3,588,015Kevin LincolnH4CA09093$2,237,084
CaliforniaCA-22David Valadao (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up76.9% (D)2-Jun-26Randy VillegasH6CA22190$2,645,560David ValadaoH2CA20094$4,927,602Yes
CaliforniaCA-48OPEN (Darrell Issa (R))RepublicanD+2Lean D92.2% (D)26-Jun-26Marni von WilpertH6CA48310$1,259,899Jim DesmondH6CA49128$2,258,836
ColoradoCO-08Gabe Evans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up75.2% (D)30-Jun-26Manny RutinelH6CO08013$4,336,988Gabe EvansH4CO08034$5,393,673Yes
FloridaFL-14Kathy Castor (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R58.0% (D)18-Aug-26Kathy CastorH6FL11126$1,954,817
FloridaFL-22Lois Frankel (D)DemocraticR+4Lean R64.7% (R)18-Aug-26
FloridaFL-25Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up60.0% (D)18-Aug-26Jared MoskowitzH4FL20023$3,146,283
IowaIA-01Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up66.7% (D)2-Jun-26Christina BohannanH2IA02111$7,051,745Mariannette Miller-MeeksH8IA02043$7,208,271
IowaIA-02OPEN (Ashley Hinson (R))RepublicanR+4Lean R ↑60.7% (R)2-Jun-26Lindsay JamesH6IA02211$1,628,201Joe MitchellH6IA02237$1,938,593
IowaIA-03Zach Nunn (R)RepublicanR+2Toss Up60.7% (D)26-Jun-26Sarah Trone GarriottH6IA03268$5,293,773Zach NunnH2IA03119$4,146,939
MichiganMI-04Bill Huizenga (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R ↑69.4% (R)4-Aug-26Bill HuizengaH0MI02094$4,003,831
MichiganMI-07Tom Barrett (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up60.9% (D)4-Aug-26Tom BarrettH2MI07123$6,180,398
MichiganMI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D90.5% (D)4-Aug-26Kristen McDonald RivetH4MI08218$5,540,175
MichiganMI-10OPEN (John James - (R))RepublicanR+3Lean R56.3% (D)4-Aug-26
North CarolinaNC-01Don Davis (D)DemocraticR+5Lean R51.7% (R)3-Mar-26Don DavisH2NC02287$4,287,386Laurie BuckhoutH4NC01137$3,793,077
North CarolinaNC-11Chuck Edwards (R)RepublicanR+5Lean R ↑51.7% (D)26-Mar-26Jamie AgerH6NC11248$3,052,354Chuck EdwardsH2NC14050$939,985
NebraskaNE-02OPEN (Don Bacon (R))RepublicanD+3Lean D87.4% (D)12-May-26Denise PowellH6NE02174$2,668,287Brinker HardingH6NE02208$2,034,386
New JerseyNJ-07Thomas Kean (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up71.7% (D)2-Jun-26Rebecca BennettH6NJ07201$4,272,034Thomas KeanH0NJ07261$4,542,250
New MexicoNM-02Gabe Vasquez (D)DemocraticEVENLean D93.2% (D)2-Jun-26Gabe VasquezH2NM02191$3,784,102Greg CunninghamH6NM02127$1,510,080
NevadaNV-03Susie Lee (D)DemocraticD+1Lean D87.9% (D)9-Jun-26Susie LeeH6NV04020$4,401,421Marty O'Donnell H6NV03204$3,528,317
New YorkNY-03Tom Suozzi (D)DemocraticEVENLean D91.3% (D)26-Jun-26Tom SuozziH6NY03247$5,456,698Michael LiPetriH0NY02267$1,666,542
New YorkNY-04Laura Gillen (D)DemocraticD+2Lean D94.2% (D)23-Jun-26Laura GillenH2NY04244$5,097,222
Jeanine Driscoll
H6NY04211$264,824
New YorkNY-17Mike Lawler (R)RepublicanD+1Toss Up66.9% (D)23-Jun-26H6NY17171$4,317,457Mike LawlerH2NY17162$8,172,046
New YorkNY-19Josh Riley (D)DemocraticD+1Likely D ↑89.6% (D)23-Jun-26Josh RileyH8NY22177$4,825,666
Peter Oberacker
H6NY19268$1,237,179
OhioOH-01Greg Landsman (D)DemocraticR+1Lean D86.9% (D)26-May-26Greg LandsmanH2OH01194$4,633,250Eric ConroyH6OH01138$981,071
OhioOH-09Marcy Kaptur (D)DemocraticR+5Toss Up63.2% (D)5-May-26Marcy KapturH2OH09031$4,303,416Derek MerrinH4OH09169$1,508,953
PennsylvaniaPA-07Ryan MacKenzie (R)RepublicanR+1Toss Up67.1% (D)19-May-26Bob BrooksH6PA07188$2,392,215Ryan MacKenzieH8PA15195$4,357,405
PennsylvaniaPA-08Rob Bresnahan (R)RepublicanR+4Toss Up54.9% (D)19-May-26Paige CognettiH6PA08293$4,609,589Rob BresnahanH4PA08124$5,234,586
PennsylvaniaPA-10Scott Perry (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up67.7% (D)19-May-26Janelle StelsonH4PA10104$6,364,069Scott PerryH2PA04135$5,194,925
TexasTX-28Henry Cuellar (D)DemocraticR+3Lean D90.0% (D)3-Mar-26Henry CuellarH2TX23082$1,620,505Tano TijerinaH6TX28124$1,399,881
TexasTX-34Vicente Gonzalez (D)DemocraticR+3Toss Up77.3% (D)3-Mar-26Vicente GonzalezH6TX15162$2,907,549Eric FloresH6TX34080$2,874,990
VirginiaVA-01Robert Wittman (R)RepublicanR+3Lean R63.5% (R)4-Aug-26Robert WittmanH8VA01147$4,016,190
VirginiaVA-02Jen Kiggans (R)RepublicanEVENToss Up68.6% (D)4-Aug-26Jen KiggansH2VA02064$5,843,429
WashingtonWA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)DemocraticR+2Toss Up85.6% (D)4-Aug-26Marie Gluesenkamp PerezH2WA03217$6,183,270
WisconsinWI-03Derrick Van Orden (R)RepublicanR+3Toss Up63.3% (D)11-Aug-26Derrick Van OrdenH0WI03175$5,677,515

COMPETITIVE SENATE RACES

StateIncumbentPartisan LeanCook RatingVotehub RatingPrimary DateDemocratic Candidate$ Raised (Dem)Republican Candidate$ Raised (Rep)
AlaskaAlaskaDan Sullivan (R)R+6Toss Up50.2% (R)Lean R18-Aug-26Mary PeltolaS6AK00276$8,661,662Dan SullivanS4AK00214$9,099,779
GeorgiaGeorgiaJon Ossoff (D)R+1Lean D88.8% (D)Lean D19-May-26Jon OssoffS8GA00180$81,146,109Mike CollinsS6GA00390$5,546,637
IowaIowaOPEN - (Joni Ernst (R))R+6Lean R ↑66.8% (R)Lean R2-Jun-26Josh TurekS6IA00298$3,463,099Ashley HinsonS6IA00314$8,158,017
MaineMaineSusan Collins (R)D+4Tossup65.2% (D)Tossup9-Jun-26Susan CollinsS6ME00159$14,925,296
MichiganMichiganOPEN -- (Gary Peters (D))R+0Tossup69.0% (D)Tossup4-Aug-26
New HampshireNew HampshireOPEN -- (Jeane Shaheen (D))D+2Lean D85.2% (D)Lean D8-Sep-26
North CarolinaNorth CarolinaOPEN -- (Thom Tillis (R))R+1Lean D86.6% (D)Tossup3-Mar-26Roy CooperS6NC00407$26,822,373Michael WhatleyS6NC00415$8,410,252
OhioOhioJon Husted (R)R+5Toss Up54.3% (R)Lean R5-May-26Sherrod BrownS6OH00163$25,979,968Jon HustedS6OH00304$10,527,814
TexasTexasJohn Cornyn (R)R+6Lean R60.1% (R)Lean R3-Mar-26James TalaricoS6TX00479$40,284,109Ken PaxtonS6TX00388$7,605,209

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Resources

Coordinator(s):
Jeff Blum

Local Organization(s):
All in for NC

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