Take Action: Nevada

Name: Nevada Training: Prepare to Drive Voters on a Ride2Vote!
Start: 2024-06-12T18:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-06-12T19:00:00-04:00
Location: virtual

Senate (Rosen), NV-03 (Lee)

The political outlook in the battleground state of Nevada is shaped by many factors, including the state’s demographics, economy, and political history.

In 2024, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jackie Rosen is running for a second term. In 2018, Rosen won by 5 points. In NV-03, where Rosen formerly served, U.S. Congresswoman Susie Lee, is seeking a fourth term. A gaggle of Republicans is lining up to oppose her, but Rosen has maintained staunch support in her state in previous elections.

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SENATE RACE

State	Incumbent	PVI	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Democratic Candidate	Republican Candidate
Arizona	OPEN -- (Sinema (I))	R+2	Tossup	Jul-30	Ruben Gallego*
Nevada	Jacky Rosen (D)	EVEN	Lean D	Jun-11	Jacky Rosen
Pennsylvania	Bob Casey (D)	R+2	Lean D	Apr-23	Bob Casey	Dave McCormick
Wisconsin	Tammy Baldwin (D)	R+2	Lean D	Aug-06	Tammy Baldwin
Michigan	OPEN -- (Stabinow (D))	EVEN	Lean D	Aug-06	Elissa Slotkin*
Ohio	Sherrod Brown (D)	R+6	Tossup	Mar-19	Sherrod Brown	Bernie Moreno
Montana	Jon Tester (D)	R+11	Lean D	Jun-04	Jon Tester

COMPETITIVE HOUSE SEATS

State	District	Incumbent	Party	Partisan Lean	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	D	R+8	Lean D	20-Aug	Mary Peltola	$1,774,747
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R	R+2	Toss Up	30-Jul			David Schweikert	$901,940
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R	R+3	Toss Up	30-Jul			Juan Ciscomani	$2,130,200
California	CA-13	John Duarte	R	D+4	Toss Up	5-Mar	Adam Gray	$468,385	John Duarte	$1,487,119
California	CA-22	David Valadao	R	D+5	Toss Up	5-Mar	Rudy Salas	$122,207	David Valadao	$1,323,307
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	R	D+4	Toss Up	5-Mar	George Whitesides	$2,508,524	Mike Garcia	$1,560,751
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R	R+3	Toss Up	5-Mar	Will Rollins	$2,424,885	Ken Calvert	$2,334,274
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	R	D+2	Lean R	5-Mar	Derek Tran	$66,630	Michelle Steel	$2,932,122
California	CA-47	Open (Porter)	D	D+3	Lean D	5-Mar	David Min	$224,079	Scott Baugh	$1,707,928
Colorado	CO-03	Open (Boebert)	R	R+7	Lean R	25-Jun
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	D	EVEN	Toss Up	25-Jun	Yadira Caraveo	$1,359,808
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D	D+3	Lean D	13-Aug	Jahana Hayes	$1,030,642
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R	R+3	Lean R	4-Jun			Zach Nunn	$1,594,585
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D	D+2	Lean D	19-Mar	Eric Sorensen	$1,631,531	Joe McGraw	$218,150
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D	D+3	Lean D	7-May	Frank Mrvan	$823,242
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	D	R+6	Toss Up	11-Jun	Jared Golden	$1,436,515
Michigan	MI-07	Open (Slotkin)	D	R+2	Toss Up	6-Aug
Michigan	MI-08	Open (Kildee)	D	R+1	Toss Up	6-Aug
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R	R+3	Lean R	6-Aug			John James	$2,346,810
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	D	R+1	Toss Up	5-Mar	Don Davis	$961,681	Laurie Buckhout	$314,724
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	R	EVEN	Lean R	14-May			Don Bacon	$1,547,517
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R	R+1	Toss Up	4-Jun			Thomas Kean	$2,110,338
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D	D+1	Toss Up	4-Jun	Gabe Vasquez	$1,247,093
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D	D+1	Lean D	11-Jun	Susie Lee	$1,584,749
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	R	D+5	Toss Up	25-Jun			Anthony DEsposito	$1,247,942
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	R	D+3	Toss Up	25-Jun			Mike Lawler	$2,500,120
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D	D+2	Lean D	25-Jun	Pat Ryan	$2,211,915
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R	R+1	Toss Up	25-Jun			Marc Molinaro	$1,618,917
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	R	D+3	Lean D	25-Jun			Brandon Williams	$913,071
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	D	R+3	Toss Up	19-Mar	Marcy Kaptur	$1,324,671
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	D	R+1	Toss Up	19-Mar	Emilia Sykes	$1,112,476	Kevin Coughlin	$248,119
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	R	D+2	Toss Up	21-May			Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$1,608,022
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D	D+4	Lean D	21-May	Andrea Salinas	$1,097,894
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	D	R+2	Toss Up	23-Apr	Susan Wild	$1,578,262	Ryan Mackenzie	$137,616
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	D	R+4	Toss Up	23-Apr	Matt Cartwright	$2,012,463	Robert Bresnahan	$636,332
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R	R+5	Lean R	23-Apr	Janelle Stelson	$140,288	Scott Perry	$547,159
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	D	EVEN	Lean D	23-Apr	Chris Deluzio	$986,156	Rob Mercuri	$281,539
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D	D+9	Lean D	28-May	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,208,034
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R	R+2	Lean R	18-Jun			Jen Kiggans	$1,504,729
Virginia	VA-07	Open (Spanberger)	D	D+1	Lean D	18-Jun
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	D	R+5	Toss Up	6-Aug	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$2,181,055
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R	R+4	Lean R	13-Aug			Derrick Van Orden	$1,617,321

Nevada is a diverse state with a large Hispanic population. This demographic group has traditionally supported the Democratic Party, and this trend is expected to continue in the 2024 elections. However, the GOP has made significant inroads and are expected to mount a strong challenge.

The state’s purple lean is clear; Trump won Nevada in 2016 but Biden won in 2020 by 2 points, and the governorship flipped to Democrat in 2022.

The economy is another key factor shaping Nevada’s political outlook. The recovery of the state’s large tourism industry, hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, will be a key issue.

Rosen is considered one of the most bipartisan senators in the US Senate and has consistently performed well in polls in her state. The issues she lists as most important are:
Lowering costs of prescription drugs, healthcare, and housing for the middle class

Defending abortion rights
Tackling the climate crisis
Protecting Social Security and Medicare

The issues Lee has focused on in Congress include:

Climate change: Policies that reduce carbon emissions reduction and clean energy promotion
Economy and jobs: Policies that support small businesses and entrepreneurs
Education, Improving access to education and reduce student debt
Health care, policies that improve access and reduce costs to health care

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