Take Action: Nevada

Name: Stop Trump Phone Bank
Start: 2024-07-31T21:00:00-04:00
End: 2024-07-31T23:00:00-04:00
Location: virtual

Senate (Rosen), NV-03 (Lee)

The political outlook in the battleground state of Nevada is shaped by many factors, including the state’s demographics, economy, and political history.

In 2024, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jackie Rosen is running for a second term. In 2018, Rosen won by 5 points. In NV-03, where Rosen formerly served, U.S. Congresswoman Susie Lee, is seeking a fourth term. A gaggle of Republicans is lining up to oppose her, but Rosen has maintained staunch support in her state in previous elections.

[Read More Below]

SENATE RACE

State	Incumbent	PVI	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Democratic Candidate	Republican Candidate
Arizona	OPEN -- (Sinema (I))	R+2	Tossup	Jul-30	Ruben Gallego*
Nevada	Jacky Rosen (D)	EVEN	Lean D	Jun-11	Jacky Rosen
Pennsylvania	Bob Casey (D)	R+2	Lean D	Apr-23	Bob Casey	Dave McCormick
Wisconsin	Tammy Baldwin (D)	R+2	Lean D	Aug-06	Tammy Baldwin
Michigan	OPEN -- (Stabinow (D))	EVEN	Lean D	Aug-06	Elissa Slotkin*
Ohio	Sherrod Brown (D)	R+6	Tossup	Mar-19	Sherrod Brown	Bernie Moreno
Montana	Jon Tester (D)	R+11	Tossup	Jun-04	Jon Tester	Tim Sheehy

COMPETITIVE HOUSE SEATS

State	District	Incumbent	Partisan Lean	Party in Power	Cook Rating	Primary Date	Dem Candidate	$ Raised (Dem)	Rep Candidate	$ Raised (Rep)
Alaska	AK-00	Mary Peltola	R+8	D	Lean D	Aug-20	Mary Peltola	$2,574,831
Arizona	AZ-01	David Schweikert	R+2	R	Toss Up	Jul-30			David Schweikert	$1,192,101
Arizona	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	R+3	R	Toss Up	Jul-30			Juan Ciscomani	$2,452,350
California	CA-47	OPEN (Porter)	D+3	D	Lean D	Mar-5	David Min	$424,839	Scott Baugh	$1,903,809
California	CA-13	John Duarte	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Adam Gray	$1,150,422	John Duarte	$1,813,336
California	CA-22	David Valadao	D+5	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Rudy Salas	$754,435	David Valadao	$1,640,960
California	CA-27	Mike Garcia	D+4	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	George Whitesides	$3,047,188	Mike Garcia	$1,754,767
California	CA-41	Ken Calvert	R+3	R	Toss Up	Mar-5	Will Rollins	$3,162,026	Ken Calvert	$2,639,377
California	CA-45	Michelle Steel	D+2	R	Lean R	Mar-5	Derek Tran	$195,382	Michelle Steel	$3,218,738
Colorado	CO-08	Yadira Caraveo	EVEN	D	Toss Up	Jun-25	Yadira Caraveo	$1,997,583
Colorado	CO-03	OPEN (Boebert)	R+7	R	Lean R	Jun-25	Adam Frisch	$5,814,105	Jeff Hurd	$527,737
Connecticut	CT-05	Jahana Hayes	D+3	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Jahana Hayes	$1,526,492
Illinois	IL-17	Eric Sorensen	D+2	D	Lean D	Mar-19	Eric Sorensen	$2,157,618	Joseph McGraw	$325,191
Indiana	IN-01	Frank Mrvan	D+3	D	Lean D	May-7	Frank Mrvan	$1,238,183	Randy Niemeyer	$295,575
Iowa	IA-03	Zach Nunn	R+3	R	Lean R	Jun-4	Lanon Baccam	$1,153,969	Zach Nunn	$1,847,579
Maine	ME-02	Jared Golden	R+6	D	Toss Up	Jun-11	Jared Golden	$2,156,439
Michigan	MI-07	OPEN (Slotkin)	R+2	D	Toss Up	Aug-6
Michigan	MI-08	OPEN (Kildee)	R+1	D	Toss Up	Aug-6
Michigan	MI-10	John James	R+3	R	Lean R	Aug-6			John James	$2,958,581
Minnesota	MN-02	Angie Craig	D+1	D	Lean D	Aug-13	Angie Craig	$2,822,415
Nebraska	NE-02	Don Bacon	EVEN	R	Lean R	May-14	Tony Vargas	$1,641,255	Don Bacon	$1,727,525
Nevada	NV-03	Susie Lee	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-11	Susie Lee	$2,179,266	Drew Johnson	$211,437
New Jersey	NJ-07	Thomas Kean	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-4	Sue Altman	$913,939	Thomas Kean	$2,395,291
New Mexico	NM-02	Gabe Vasquez	D+1	D	Toss Up	Jun-4	Gabe Vasquez	$1,805,859	Yvette Herrell	$1,044,795
New York	NY-18	Pat Ryan	D+2	D	Lean D	Jun-25	Pat Ryan	$2,768,926	Alison Esposito	$437,127
New York	NY-22	Brandon Williams	D+3	R	Lean D	Jun-25	John Mannion	$372,834	Brandon Williams	$1,080,376
New York	NY-04	Anthony DEsposito	D+5	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Laura Gillen	$879,583	Anthony DEsposito	$1,363,618
New York	NY-17	Mike Lawler	D+3	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Mondaire Jones	$3,115,165	Mike Lawler	$3,022,485
New York	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	R+1	R	Toss Up	Jun-25	Josh Riley	$2,508,263	Marc Molinaro	$1,767,264
North Carolina	NC-01	Don Davis	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-5	Don Davis	$1,845,760	Laurie Buckhout	$239,479
Ohio	OH-09	Marcy Kaptur	R+3	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Marcy Kaptur	$1,893,847	Derek Merrin	$88,166
Ohio	OH-13	Emilia Sykes	R+1	D	Toss Up	Mar-19	Emilia Sykes	$1,649,815	Kevin Coughlin	$76,192
Oregon	OR-06	Andrea Salinas	D+4	D	Lean D	May-21	Andrea Salinas	$1,601,364	Mike Erickson	$140,962
Oregon	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	D+2	R	Lean R	May-21	Janelle Bynum	$560,821	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	$1,878,340
Pennsylvania	PA-17	Chris Deluzio	EVEN	D	Lean D	Apr-23	Chris Deluzio	$1,491,729	Rob Mercuri	$540,528
Pennsylvania	PA-07	Susan Wild	R+2	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Susan Wild	$2,662,153	Ryan MacKenzie	$126,142
Pennsylvania	PA-08	Matt Cartwright	R+4	D	Toss Up	Apr-23	Matt Cartwright	$3,151,047	Robert Bresnahan	$834,919
Pennsylvania	PA-10	Scott Perry	R+5	R	Lean R	Apr-23	Janelle Stelson	$191,905	Scott Perry	$513,461
Texas	TX-34	Vicente Gonzalez	D+9	D	Lean D	May-28	Vicente Gonzalez	$1,452,143	Mayra Flores	$786,597
Virginia	VA-07	OPEN (Spanberger)	D+1	D	Lean D	Jun-18	Eugene Vindman	$1,841,459	Derrick Anderson	$581,005
Virginia	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	R+2	R	Lean R	Jun-18	Missy Cotter Smasal	$299,078	Jen Kiggans	$1,785,014
Washington	WA-03	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	R+5	D	Toss Up	Aug-6	Marie Gluesenkamp Perez	$3,028,214
Wisconsin	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	R+4	R	Lean R	Aug-13			Derrick Van Orden	$1,946,820

Nevada is a diverse state with a large Hispanic population. This demographic group has traditionally supported the Democratic Party, and this trend is expected to continue in the 2024 elections. However, the GOP has made significant inroads and are expected to mount a strong challenge.

The state’s purple lean is clear; Trump won Nevada in 2016 but Biden won in 2020 by 2 points, and the governorship flipped to Democrat in 2022.

The economy is another key factor shaping Nevada’s political outlook. The recovery of the state’s large tourism industry, hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, will be a key issue.

Rosen is considered one of the most bipartisan senators in the US Senate and has consistently performed well in polls in her state. The issues she lists as most important are:
Lowering costs of prescription drugs, healthcare, and housing for the middle class

Defending abortion rights
Tackling the climate crisis
Protecting Social Security and Medicare

The issues Lee has focused on in Congress include:

Climate change: Policies that reduce carbon emissions reduction and clean energy promotion
Economy and jobs: Policies that support small businesses and entrepreneurs
Education, Improving access to education and reduce student debt
Health care, policies that improve access and reduce costs to health care

Show More about Nevada Show Less