Take Action Illinois
IL-06, IL-13, IL-14, IL-17
Illinois' new map proves Dems can gerrymander with the best. Changes include a Democratic seat and a Republican seat merger which will create primary battles; two open seats that are safer for Democrats; and a new district that is very winnable for Democrats.
Incumbent vs incumbent: * IL-06: Sean Casten (D)'s seat has been merged with that of Marie Newman (D), Casten has a larger war chest vs Newman, and both are running in the primary. There are also five Republicans running. The new district is rated Lean D * IL-12: Mike Bost (R) and Mary Miller (R) will face off in a solid R district.
Open seats: * IL-03 has no incumbent and is now rated D+19. Regardless of the Democratic primary winner, it will likely remain a Democratic seat. * IL-13 has shifted from R+4 to D+4. The leading Democratic candidate is Nikki Budzinski. There is no clear Republican frontrunner. * IL-17 is more Democratic at D+3. However, with Incumbent Cheri Bustos retiring, the race a tossup. Seven Democrats have declared. Esther Joy King (R) who challenged Bustos in 2020 is the de facto Republican nominee; she has raised well over $1M.
Democrat Holds: * IL-14 is safer for incumbent Lauren Underwood (D). However, it's still rated vulnerable at Lean D. The Illinois primary is June 28th.
|DISTRICT||INCUMBENT||OLD PVI||NEW PVI||COOK RATING|
|IL-06||MERGED: Marie Newman (D) and Sean Casten (D)||D+3||D+5||Lean D|
|IL-13||NEW SEAT||R+4||D+4||Lean D|
|IL-14||Lauren Underwood (D)||R+2||D+4||Lean D|
|IL-17||OPEN (Bustos) (D)||R+2||D+3||Tossup|